According to IIT Madras, coronavirus infection in the country could reach a national level in the next two weeks, which means that corona outbreak will be seen in India by February 6.
MUMBAI: Coronavirus infection in the country could reach a national high in the next two weeks, according to IIT Madras. The third wave will see the eruption of the corona, after which the corona graph will begin to descend. It will end in two months. It may be declared Endmic by the end of March.
It is said that the world is round. That is, where the story begins, it ends. Scientists around the world, including in India, are expecting something similar to happen with the Corona epidemic. Scientists in India now estimate that if the corona omicron type replaces the Indian delta, it is likely to disappear in India by March this year.
A world free from epidemics
Hans Klunge, head of the WHO's Europe zone, predicts that the corona in Europe will change locally from the epidemic in March 2022. In March 2020, the Indian government declared Corona a disaster. This was followed by the toughest lockdown ever implemented in India. However, the corona is not over. But now scientists in India have predicted that the corona will reach the endemic stage in India in March 2022.
What is Endemic Stage?
In fact, the endemic phase of any epidemic is when the disease becomes so weak that it does not make a healthy person seriously ill and does not pose any danger to him in the future. If he stays sick, he stays with the people. It also infects them, but their numbers are reduced and space is limited. When there is no danger to life, the disease is declared endemic in any country or place.
In Delhi, for example, dengue is transmitted every year after rains. But it is not called an epidemic. Because only a small population of Delhi gets infected every year and most of the people get cured. Similarly, diseases like malaria and tuberculosis (TB) still infect millions of people worldwide every year, but it is not called an epidemic. Because humans have learned to cope with these diseases today, and they are less deadly than when they first appeared.
Indian scientists predict
Scientists around the world, including in India, have made similar predictions about the corona. Indian scientists believe that the corona variant omikron is rapidly infecting people, so this type will soon replace the delta in India, meaning that corona cases in India will come only because of omikron. Therefore, India will reach endemic level by March 2022. The INSACOG team of the Department of Biotechnology, Government of India, hopes that in March 2022, there will be an endemic disease in India. Community broadcast of Omicron has started in India. Former Director of ICMR, Dr. Inke Ganguly agrees.
How will it affect you?
Now you may be wondering what will happen to you if Corona ENDEMIC becomes PANDEMIC in India in March 2022. If Corona is declared ENDEMIC by the Government of India, then what you are seeing today is that the Government of India closes schools and colleges out of fear of Corona. Weekend curfews and night curfews are in place. This will not happen now because there will be no corona health emergency in the country after that.
There will be less pressure on health
Not everyone who comes in contact with coronaviruses has to be tested. It may also be that today, when you travel by air from one state to another, you have to show a 72-hour old covid negative report, so you are exempt from this test every time before the trip after a local illness. The epidemiologist of AIIMS Hospital, Delhi, Dr. According to Sanjay Rai, after the announcement of Endemic, India's healthcare team, which has been carrying the burden of this corona for the last two years, will be able to function as before. At the same time, governments will not have to bear the burden of hundreds of crores of rupees every year.
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